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Railyard Beta

Pay once for any plan now.
Your time does not start until two rails graduate.

Buy 30 days, 90 days or a year with one payment. You get full access with no end date until two rails have graduated. Only then do your days start counting down. Nothing renews.

What Railyard is
Railyard runs automated trading strategies, called rails, on Kalshi binary contracts — short-dated yes/no markets, mostly 15-minute windows, on where a crypto price index settles. Every rail on sale trades Bitcoin; Rail 2 (Late Entry) also trades Ether, Solana, XRP and a few other coins. When you arm a rail, Railyard places that rail’s orders on your own Kalshi account, through your own API key, at the size you set. Nothing trades until you arm one, and Railyard never holds your money. Five rails are on sale today.

One payment. Nothing renews. Trades run on your own Kalshi account, at your own risk.
Seats left
—
reading the live count
Rails graduated
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two start the clock
The clock
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starts at the first midnight Eastern after the daily check records two graduated rails

Reading the live seat count…

How it works — four steps, in order

It works the same way for every beta plan. The plans differ only in how many days you get once the clock starts.

1

You buy a beta plan today

One payment: $60 for 30 days, $130 for 90 days or $500 for a year. It never renews.

2

You get full access straight away, with no end date

Every rail on sale, the live app and fill alerts (each is explained below), and the members’ Discord once it opens. It lasts until two rails have graduated, however long that takes.

3

Two rails graduate, and your days start at the next midnight

Once a day, early in the morning Eastern time, a check reads the published record. The first time it finds two rails over all three graduation bars at the same time, it sets the clock: your 30, 90 or 365 days start at the next 00:00 Eastern (midnight in New York), the midnight at the end of that same day. If the check finds them on a Tuesday morning, the days start at 00:00 Eastern on Wednesday. Every beta member’s days start at that one moment, whenever they bought. Wherever this page says “the second rail graduates”, it means that check.

4

Your days run out, and access ends

The app and the alerts stop, and so does the members’ Discord role once that opens. Nothing renews and nothing more is charged. To keep going, buy a regular plan; they go back on sale once the beta ends.

If two rails never graduate

You keep full access, with no end date, for your one payment. Your days only start counting once the daily check has recorded two graduated rails. One graduated rail is not enough: the clock needs two.

What you get, from the day you pay
  • Every rail on sale — five today.
  • The live app: the rails board, which shows every rail’s signals as they happen; arming, which switches a rail on for your account; and your fills, the orders that went through on your account.
  • Fill alerts: a push notification on your phone when a rail fires (decides to trade), fills (your order goes through) and settles (the market closes and pays out, or does not). They come through the free ntfy app, which the Railyard app helps you set up. They are optional.
  • The members’ Discord, opening soon. When it opens, Whop gives you the members’ role and takes it away when your access ends.
Not included: the quarterly guarantee. It is for the regular plans.
What you need
  • A Kalshi account, with your own money in it.
  • A Kalshi API key, which you add in the app. It is how orders reach your account. A trading key is enough: never give any service a key with withdrawal rights.
  • Your own size. Every rail starts switched off, and nothing trades until you arm one. For each rail you set how many dollars a position may risk and a daily stop, and the app shows what a position will cost before you arm it.
Railyard never holds your money. It only places orders on your Kalshi account, through your key.

An example — with no dates, on purpose

Nobody knows when two rails will graduate, or whether they will. So this example uses no calendar dates, only the order things happen in and how long each part lasts. Call the day the daily check records the second graduated rail “check day”.

Say you buy the 90-day plan
WhenWhat happens
The day you pay You pay $130, once. Full access starts right away.
Every day after that, until check day Full access, no end date. None of these days count toward your 90, however many weeks or months that turns out to be.
Check day, early morning ET The daily check finds two rails over all three bars at once. The beta closes to new buyers.
The midnight that ends check day, 00:00 ET Your 90 days start. So does every other beta member’s.
90 days later, 00:00 ET Your 90 days are used up. Access ends. Nothing renews.
The same timeline, for each plan
PlanDays startAccess ends
30 days 00:00 ET after check day 30 days later, 00:00 ET
90 days 00:00 ET after check day 90 days later, 00:00 ET
1 year and the founding year 00:00 ET after check day 365 days later, 00:00 ET
When you buy does not change these moments. Someone who bought months before check day starts and ends at exactly the same moments as someone who bought the week before. Buying earlier only means more time before the clock starts.

00:00 is the very start of a day, so your last full day is the day before access ends. Days are counted as 24-hour days from the start. If a daylight-saving change falls inside your term, it ends at 23:00 the evening before, or at 01:00, instead of midnight. Once the clock is set, the app shows your exact start and end.

What graduation means

A rail graduates when its live record is over three bars at the same time. The same three bars decide which rails the guarantee covers and when the Railyard Beta clock starts. They are measured on the published record of real trades — not on a backtest, and not on your account.

Bar 1
30 trading days

At least 30 days (Eastern time) on which the rail settled a trade.

Bar 2
150 settled trades

At least 150 of its trades have settled.

Bar 3
Pessimistic profit above +1.0¢

Not the average. A deliberately cautious figure — the low end of the range the true average could be in, worked out day by day — per contract, after fees. It cannot be measured until the rail has had at least five losing days.

Graduating is not permanent. A rail can drop back below a bar as its record grows. What counts is the daily check: the clock is set by the first check that finds two rails over all three bars at once, and a rail that was over them earlier but has dropped back does not count toward the two. Every rail on the record is measured, retired ones included, but a retired rail no longer trades, so its record stays where it was when it retired. Once the clock is set, it does not stop or move.
Where each rail stands, live
RailTrading days (need 30) Settled trades (need 150) Pessimistic profit (need above +1.0¢)Graduated
Reading the live record…

The whole record, including the parts that lost

Live trading · real money · the operator’s own account

Every trade on this page was a live order sent to the Kalshi exchange from the operator’s own account, matched against a real counterparty at a real price and settled by the exchange in cash. Nothing here is a backtest, a simulation, a paper ledger or a replay. The winning trades were paid into that account and the losing trades came out of it — the operator carried every dollar of the risk, and still does. The rails you would follow are the same rails trading that account today.

Sixteen rails have run. Five are on sale, one is parked and ten are retired. This is all of them — every rail, every trading day, winners and losers together. There is no selected subset, no excluded “test” period, and no rail quietly dropped for having gone wrong.

The conductor’s program, net to date
+$879.11
One live Kalshi account. Real cash, at the operator’s own risk. This is every automated rail ever run, including the eleven that are no longer trading. The five rails on sale today — the ones the beta gives you — made +$1129.20 on their own. This box is the complete number, losers included, so you can see exactly what that selection leaves out. It is not a model, a backtest or a paper ledger; it is the same ledger graduation is measured on, so it is the operator who is exposed if it goes negative.
RailTradesWin % Mean entryNetStatus
Rail 2 Late Entry 22464.7%61.2¢ +$266.46Beta
Rail 3 Confirmed 30278.1%72.6¢ +$507.56Beta
Rail 4 Tier 4190.2%82.3¢ +$74.60Beta
Rail 5 Weekend 11981.5%78.5¢ +$35.91Beta
Rail 7 Calm 13100.0%75.9¢ +$236.45Beta
The rails on sale 69975.5%— +$1120.98
Rail 6 Hourly 2759.3%67.7¢ −$37.68Retired 17 Sep
Rail 1 Continuous 28864.9%64.7¢ +$129.52Retired 15 Sep
Cross-asset port 2373.9%71.9¢ −$34.52Parked
PARALLAX 4146.3%56.5¢ −$101.40Retired
CROSSTIE 6266.1%65.9¢ +$41.25Retired
TOWPATH 7387.7%91.6¢ −$85.26Retired
CINDER 1650.0%71.0¢ −$60.91Retired
DRAYAGE 9875.5%78.3¢ −$103.47Retired
GANTRY 2100.0%81.0¢ +$23.91Retired
DERRICK 850.0%— −$13.31Retired
SOUNDING 0—— +$0.00Never fired
Every rail ever run 133771.8%— +$879.11
Read the win rate next to the per-contract net. A win rate on its own says nothing about whether the winners were bigger than the losers. What settles that is the average settled contract once the exchange fee is paid, and across every contract every rail has ever settled that is +2.74¢ on a contract that pays 100¢. Thin, not comfortable, and the reason a rail has to clear a pessimistic lower bound rather than a flattering average before it leaves beta.

The mean entry is derived, not quoted from a ticket. Three rails store the price they actually filled at. For the rest it is recovered from the settlement arithmetic — what a contract paid, less the fee, over the number of contracts, gives the price that was paid for it — which reproduces the recorded fill to a hundredth of a cent on the orders that carry both. It is known for 94.4% of the orders behind the rails on sale; where a rail has no graded result to work back from, the cell is blank rather than guessed.

Two rows deserve a caveat rather than applause. Rail 4 is 37–4 on 41 settled trades, which is real and verified and still far too small a sample to read as an 90.2% rail. Rail 6 was retired on 17 Sep 2026 at −$37.68, negative on both measures — −9.77¢ per contract. It was not retired for losing money but because the market it traded was closed: an 852-cut search of the hourly ladder across four independent angles found nothing, and the reason is arithmetic rather than bad luck — above 97¢ the fee makes the best possible outcome exactly zero.

The beta plans — one payment each

Every plan gets the same access and the same start date. They differ only in how many days you get once the clock starts. None of them renews.

Reading the live seat count…

Beta · 30 days
$60 once
30 days, counted from the first midnight Eastern after the second graduation is recorded. Full access with no end date before that.
  • Every rail on sale
  • One payment, never renews
  • Not covered by the guarantee
Checking seats…
Beta · 90 days
$130 once
90 days, counted from the first midnight Eastern after the second graduation is recorded. Full access with no end date before that.
  • Every rail on sale
  • One payment, never renews
  • Not covered by the guarantee
Checking seats…
Beta · 1 year
$500 once
365 days, counted from the first midnight Eastern after the second graduation is recorded. Full access with no end date before that.
  • Every rail on sale
  • One payment, never renews
  • Not covered by the guarantee
Checking seats…
What the button does. It opens the Railyard app and remembers the plan you picked. Sign in or create an account; the app’s checkout screen shows that plan, and its button takes you to Whop to pay. A seat is counted only when Whop confirms your payment, and checkout checks the seats again before you pay.

One beta per account. You cannot buy a second beta, or switch to a longer one later, so pick your term before you buy.

Already on a regular plan? You cannot buy the beta on top of a plan that renews, so you do not pay twice. Cancel its renewal first (in the app, under Plan & billing), then buy the beta. Time left on the old plan is not added to your beta days.

Fifty seats in total, shared across the beta plans. The beta closes when the seats run out, or when the daily check records the second graduation (the day before the clock starts), whichever comes first. The regular plans go back on sale after the second graduation; if the seats run out first, nothing else is on sale until then.

Questions

When does my time start?

At the first 00:00 Eastern after the daily check records the second graduated rail. The check runs once a day, early in the morning Eastern time, so if it records it on a Tuesday, every beta member’s days start at 00:00 Eastern on Wednesday, whenever they bought. Until then there is no end date.

Does buying earlier change my dates?

No. Everyone starts at the same moment. Buying earlier only gives you more time before the clock starts.

What if no rail graduates?

You keep full access, with no end date, for your one payment. Your days only start counting once two rails have graduated.

What if only one does?

The same: full access, no end date. One graduated rail does not start the clock; it takes two at once.

What if a rail graduates and then drops back?

Then it no longer counts. The clock is set by the first daily check that finds two rails over all three bars at the same time. Once it is set, it does not move, even if a rail drops back afterwards.

Do retired rails count?

They are measured like every other rail, and a retired rail over all three bars would count. But a retired rail no longer trades, so its record stays where it was when it retired. The table above shows where each one stands.

Does it renew?

No. It is one payment. Nothing renews, and nothing more is charged.

What happens when my days run out?

Access ends everywhere: the app, the fill alerts and, once it opens, the members’ Discord role. To keep going, buy a regular plan; those renew until you cancel, and they go back on sale once the beta ends.

Is it covered by the quarterly guarantee?

No. The guarantee is for the regular plans. Its remedy is a free next quarter of a plan that renews, and the beta does not renew.

I already pay for a regular plan. Can I buy the beta?

Not while that plan renews: checkout refuses, so you do not pay twice. Cancel its renewal first (in the app, under Plan & billing), then buy the beta. Time left on the old plan is not added to your beta days.

Can I buy a second beta, or switch to a longer one later?

No. There is one beta per account, and checkout refuses a second one. Pick your term before you buy.

Does Railyard trade for me? What does “arming a rail” mean?

Only on rails you arm. Arming a rail switches it on for your account: while it is armed, Railyard places an order on your Kalshi account, through your key and at your size, every time that rail takes a trade. Every rail starts disarmed, and until you arm one the rails board only shows you the signals. Disarming stops new orders; anything already open settles normally.

How much of my money does each trade use?

You decide. For each rail you set how many dollars a position may risk and a daily stop for that rail, or pick a preset worked out from your account size. Account-wide limits cap the total, how many positions can be open at once, and the most that can go into any one market. The app shows what a position will cost before you arm the rail. A contract that settles against you is worth nothing, so a position can lose everything it cost.

How do the alerts reach my phone?

As push notifications through the free ntfy app. The Railyard app walks you through it: install ntfy, subscribe to a private topic on Railyard’s own push server, and send yourself a test. Alerts are optional; the rails you arm trade either way.

What do I need?

A Kalshi account with your own money in it, and a Kalshi API key, which you add in the app. A trading key is enough; never give any service a key with withdrawal rights. Railyard never holds your money: it only places orders on your account, through your key.

What do I get in Discord?

The members’ area is opening soon. When it does, Whop gives you the members’ role when you buy and takes it away when your access ends.

How many seats are there?

Fifty, shared across the beta plans. A seat is counted when Whop confirms a payment. The beta closes when they are gone, or when the daily check records the second graduation, whichever comes first.

What is the founding year?

The 1-year beta at $400 instead of $500, on sale only while at least one of the five founding seats is left. The regular Founding annual plan ($400 a year, renewing) sells from the same five seats, so a seat taken by either plan is gone for both.

What are the regular plans?

Plans that renew until you cancel: $60 a month, $130 every three months, $500 a year, or $400 a year on a founding seat while one is left. The three-month and yearly plans carry the quarterly guarantee; the monthly plan does not.

Can I get a refund?

This page makes no refund promise. To ask for one, go through Whop, where you paid, or message the operator from the Help page in the app. If a beta is refunded, its access ends.

The fine print

Your money is at risk

Trades run on your own Kalshi account, with your own key and your own money, and every loss is yours. Binary contracts can settle worthless. The published record is real, and past results do not promise future ones. Your own fills will not match it exactly.

No promises about dates

Nothing on this page forecasts when, or whether, two rails will graduate; that is why the example has no dates. The beta is not covered by the quarterly guarantee. Payments are handled by Whop. This page makes no refund promise, and a refunded beta ends its access.

See the plans See the full record